The article discusses the current tensions between Russia and the West, particularly the UK, in relation to Ukraine and NATO. It highlights several potential flashpoints, including:
1. Estonia: The UK's commitment to defend its allies, as stipulated by Article 5 of NATO's treaty, is unclear under US President Donald Trump.
2. Svalbard: Norway's ability to defend its archipelago against Russia has been questioned.
3. Arctic territory disputes: Russia and the West are in disagreement over territorial claims in the Arctic.
The article also notes that:
1. The UK's defense spending is not sufficient for a major conflict with Russia, according to Keir Giles of Chatham House.
2. Vladimir Putin is considered a "wild card" by some analysts due to his unpredictable behavior and possible willingness to escalate tensions.
3. The UK's relations with Russia are complicated by the poisoning of Sergei Skripal in Salisbury and the death of Dawn Sturgess, who sprayed Novichok on her wrists.
Overall, the article emphasizes that the situation is complex and that the West needs to be prepared for a potentially long-term conflict with Russia.
1. Estonia: The UK's commitment to defend its allies, as stipulated by Article 5 of NATO's treaty, is unclear under US President Donald Trump.
2. Svalbard: Norway's ability to defend its archipelago against Russia has been questioned.
3. Arctic territory disputes: Russia and the West are in disagreement over territorial claims in the Arctic.
The article also notes that:
1. The UK's defense spending is not sufficient for a major conflict with Russia, according to Keir Giles of Chatham House.
2. Vladimir Putin is considered a "wild card" by some analysts due to his unpredictable behavior and possible willingness to escalate tensions.
3. The UK's relations with Russia are complicated by the poisoning of Sergei Skripal in Salisbury and the death of Dawn Sturgess, who sprayed Novichok on her wrists.
Overall, the article emphasizes that the situation is complex and that the West needs to be prepared for a potentially long-term conflict with Russia.